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IELTS Practice Reading: Matching Features ID: #56145 Hard The Life Cycle of a City 2
Instructions ›
If the author agrees with Forrester’s model, would he support or reject the following ideas? Please tick the appropriate letter.
Tap any word for its meaning
The Life Cycle of a City

Already more than 20% of mankind live in urban areas with populations greater than 100,000, and this figure is expected to increase to at least 40% by the year 2000. The rural-urban population shift in the US (Fig. 1) typifies the trend to urbanization in a developed country. But this trend is not limited to developed countries. In developing countries too (Fig. 2), where the population is still predominantly rural, rapid urbanization is occurring. In fact, urbanization in developing countries is taking place more rapidly than that in developed countries. In the former, the population of large cities is doubling every 10 to 15 years, and that of many urban slums yevery 5 to 7 years.

These major population shifts within a country or throughout the world — both in developed and developing countries — affect the life cycles of cities. Jay W. Forrester (1969) has developed a crude computer model (Fig. 3) for an urban system in an industrialized nation. He analysed a hypothetical city to see how factors such as new and old industry, worker employment, managerial-professional employment and housing interacted over a period of 250 years. Data for each variable were collected, and the projected changes were calculated and plotted with the aid of a computer. The model shows that after a slight lag phase (while initial colonizers are building and slowly expanding the population), there is a dynamic growth phase (the “J curve") as industry, housing and employment increase dramatically for a number of years,employment for the working class, and they move outward into the second ring of housing. Middle and upper classes then develop a new housing ring further from the inner city as stagnation increases.

Forrester’s preliminary and admittedly crude model shows that the normal practice of raising local taxes may be self-defeating, in that it drives out persons and industries capable of supporting the city. Building expensive motorways and mass transit systems from the suburbs to the inner city can also be counterproductive by making the flight to the suburbs easier. Allowing old housing to stand, or converting it to low-rent housing projects, may also be self-defeating in the long run. The migration of additional underemployed persons into a city is controlled by the availability of housing. By removing old housing and refusing to replace it, a city can stop or slow migration of the unskilled, and at the same time provide space for new industries, which can then generate jobs or taxes for the benefit of existing unemployed citizens.

The short-term, economically-motivated decisions made in this growth phase often have undesirable long-term effects. The original housing deteriorates, and new affluence and the availability of cars and other forms of transportation enable the managerial and skilled labour classes to build a new ring of houses outside the old dty. The availability of vacated housing in the now deteriorating inner city allows an influx of unskilled workers, mostly from the rural areas (or, in the case of some developed countries, unskilled immigrants from developing countries). This occupancy by newcomers prevents the demolition of old housing, and further hinders industrial and business expansion within the city. Unemployment rises, generating welfare expenditure, but a reduced tax base from which to finance such expenditure. So local business taxes are raised, and the remaining landowners flee the city to avoid high taxes. This further decreases the likelihood of new industry, and unemployment rises again.

The stage is now set for the second phase of deterioration. The oldest inner city housing ’ eventually deteriorates to the point where it must be demolished. It is usually replaced with housing and office buildings for managerial and professional workers.
A. Support
B. Reject
C. Can't be inferred from the text
A B C
1 raising taxes
2 building motorways
3 converting old houses
4 demolishing old houses
5 increasing urban population
AI explanationShows the answer. Tap to open.

Question Focus: Direct opinion from Forrester's model - raising taxes is described as harmful

Why this is correct: The answer is Reject. The passage clearly says that raising local taxes may be self-defeating because it drives out persons and industries capable of supporting the city, so the author would not support this idea.

Passage Reference: Forrester's preliminary and admittedly crude model shows that the normal practice of raising local taxes may be self-defeating, in that it drives out persons and industries capable of supporting the city.

Common Mistake: Some students choose Support because taxes are often seen as helping cities. This is a Contradiction trap because the passage explicitly says taxes make the situation worse.

Paraphrasing: Passage: 'raising local taxes may be self-defeating' = Statement: 'raising taxes'

Tips: When the passage clearly says an action is harmful, the answer is Reject, not opinion-based.

Key Vocabulary:

  • self-defeating = causes harm to itself
  • capable of supporting = able to help financially

Question Focus: Negative evaluation - motorways make problems worse

Passage Reference: Building expensive motorways and mass transit systems from the suburbs to the inner city can also be counterproductive by making the flight to the suburbs easier.

Why this is correct: The answer is Reject. The author says building motorways is counterproductive because it makes it easier for people to leave the city, which harms urban stability.

Common Mistake: Students often choose Support because transport sounds beneficial. This is a Paraphrase trap - better transport does not mean better cities here.

Paraphrasing: Passage: 'building motorways can be counterproductive' = Statement: 'building motorways'

Tips: Do not assume something is good in real life. Always follow the author's evaluation.

Key Vocabulary:

  • counterproductive = has the opposite effect
  • flight = leaving quickly

Question Focus: Policy judged as harmful in the long run

Passage Reference: Allowing old housing to stand, or converting it to low-rent housing projects, may also be self-defeating in the long run.

Why this is correct: The answer is Reject. The passage says that converting old housing to low-rent projects may be self-defeating, so the author would not support this action.

Common Mistake: Some students pick Support because helping low-income residents sounds positive. This is a Partial truth trap - social help is mentioned, but the long-term effect is negative.

Paraphrasing: Passage: 'converting it to low-rent housing projects may be self-defeating' = Statement: 'converting old houses'

Tips: Watch for phrases like 'in the long run' - they often signal evaluation.

Key Vocabulary:

  • low-rent = cheap to live in
  • long run = long-term future

Question Focus: Recommended action to control migration and help industry

Passage Reference: By removing old housing and refusing to replace it, a city can stop or slow migration of the unskilled, and at the same time provide space for new industries, which can then generate jobs or taxes for the benefit of existing unemployed citizens.

Why this is correct: The answer is Support. The author explains that removing old housing can stop migration of the unskilled and provide space for new industries, which benefits the city.

Common Mistake: Students sometimes choose Reject because demolition sounds destructive. This is a Context shift trap - here demolition is shown as a solution, not a problem.

Paraphrasing: Passage: 'removing old housing' = Statement: 'demolishing old houses'

Tips: Look carefully at cause and result. If the result is positive, the author supports it.

Key Vocabulary:

  • demolish = destroy buildings
  • generate jobs = create employment

Question Focus: General trend mentioned but no approval or rejection

Passage Reference: Already more than 20% of mankind live in urban areas with populations greater than 100,000, and this figure is expected to increase to at least 40% by the year 2000. The rural-urban population shift in the US (Fig. 1) typifies the trend to urbanization in a developed country. But this trend is not limited to developed countries. In developing countries too (Fig. 2), where the population is still predominantly rural, rapid urbanization is occurring. In fact, urbanization in developing countries is taking place more rapidly than that in developed countries. In the former, the population of large cities is doubling every 10 to 15 years, and that of many urban slums yevery 5 to 7 years. These major population shifts within a country or throughout the world - both in developed and developing countries - affect the life cycles of cities.

Why this is correct: The answer is Can't be inferred from the text. The passage describes urban population growth as a trend, but it never says the author supports or rejects increasing urban population.

Common Mistake: Students choose Support because growth is discussed often. This is a Not Given trap - description does not equal opinion.

Paraphrasing: Passage: 'urbanization is occurring' = Statement: 'increasing urban population'

Tips: If you cannot find a clear opinion word, choose Can't be inferred.

Key Vocabulary:

  • urbanization = growth of cities
  • trend = general pattern

General Tips:

  • These questions test the author's opinion, not general knowledge.
  • Scan for evaluation words like 'self-defeating', 'counterproductive', or 'benefit'.
  • Description of a trend does not mean support for it.
  • Questions follow passage order - use the previous answer to find the next.

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